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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sutton Utd v Truro City: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Sutton Utd

WLDLD
1–0
FT

Truro City

WWDWW
Sutton Utd 45%Draw 21%Truro City 33% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.19
51%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultSutton Utd to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.69

Sutton Utd vs Truro City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the FA Cup brings Sutton Utd against Truro City. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Sutton Utd, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over West Bromwich Albion U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Truro City, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Birmingham City U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Truro City, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sutton Utd.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sutton Utd 1.5 xG, Truro City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sutton Utd 45%, draw 21%, Truro City 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutton Utd 1–1 Truro City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sutton Utd45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Truro City33%fair 3.02 · @3.00
2.65Expected goals
1.45Sutton Utd xG
1.19Truro City xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Sutton Utd 1.5 – 1.2 Truro City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSutton Utd to win ✓45%2.202.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betSutton Utd (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapTruro City +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSutton Utd to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sutton Utd / FT Sutton Utd ✓25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10%9.69–

Recent results

Sutton Utd – last 6

WLDLDD
13 Octvs West Bromwich Albion U213–2W
9 Octvs Boreham Wood0–2L
3 Oct@ Kidderminster Harriers1–1D
30 Sep@ Tamworth0–2L
26 Sepvs Forest Green3–3D
19 Sep@ FC Halifax Town1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Truro City – last 6

WWDWWW
13 Octvs Birmingham City U213–0W
10 Oct@ Braintree2–1W
6 Oct@ Farnham Town2–2D
3 Octvs Cirencester Town4–0W
26 Sep@ Maidstone Utd2–1W
22 Sepvs Merthyr Town2–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sutton Utd and Truro City.

Sutton Utd vs Truro City head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Bury1 Harrogate Town1 122%3.40X21%3.70256%1.83 1.7–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.53 ✗
FT AFC Rushden & Diamonds2 Morecambe1 120%3.75X20%3.90260%1.67 1.1–2.0xG 2Morecambe to win 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Truro City?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Sutton Utd vs Truro City?

On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Truro City 33%.

How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Truro City?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sutton Utd vs Truro City?

Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 1–1 Truro City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sutton Utd vs Truro City?

Sutton Utd vs Truro City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.