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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Uxbridge v AFC Hornchurch: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Uxbridge

WWWWW
0–4
FT

AFC Hornchurch

WDLWL
Uxbridge 16%Draw 19%AFC Hornchurch 65% Expected goals 1.00 – 2.20
65%
Betarazi pick

AFC Hornchurch to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Hornchurch to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceAFC Hornchurch or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Uxbridge welcome AFC Hornchurch for a FA Cup fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Uxbridge, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Evesham United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

AFC Hornchurch, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Eastleigh, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Uxbridge, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for AFC Hornchurch.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Uxbridge 1.0 xG, AFC Hornchurch 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Uxbridge 16%, draw 19%, AFC Hornchurch 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AFC Hornchurch to win (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uxbridge 0–2 AFC Hornchurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Uxbridge16%fair 6.20 · @4.50
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.20
AFC Hornchurch65%fair 1.54 · @1.53
3.20Expected goals
1.00Uxbridge xG
2.20AFC Hornchurch xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Uxbridge 1.0 – 2.2 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAFC Hornchurch to win ✓65%1.541.53
Double chanceAFC Hornchurch or draw ✓84%1.191.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betAFC Hornchurch (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapAFC Hornchurch -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreAFC Hornchurch to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultAFC Hornchurch ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT AFC Hornchurch / FT AFC Hornchurch ✓42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Uxbridge – last 6

WWWWWD
10 Octvs Evesham United1–0W
3 Octvs Hungerford Town3–1W
29 Sepvs Basingstoke Town2–1W
26 Sepvs Lewes2–1W
22 Sep@ Farnborough2–0W
19 Sepvs Farnborough2–2D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Hornchurch – last 6

WDLWLW
10 Octvs Eastleigh2–0W
6 Octvs Fulham U211–1D
3 Oct@ Harrogate Town0–3L
29 Sepvs Aldershot Town2–1W
26 Sep@ Altrincham0–3L
19 Sepvs Scunthorpe1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Uxbridge and AFC Hornchurch.

Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT Bury1 Harrogate Town1 122%3.40X21%3.70256%1.83 1.7–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.53 ✗
FT AFC Rushden & Diamonds2 Morecambe1 120%3.75X20%3.90260%1.67 1.1–2.0xG 2Morecambe to win 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our pick is AFC Hornchurch to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?

On our numbers Uxbridge have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and AFC Hornchurch 65%.

How many goals will there be in Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our predicted score is Uxbridge 0–2 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?

Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.