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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wealdstone v Worthing: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Wealdstone

LLDWL
3–0
FT

Worthing

LWWDW
Wealdstone 25%Draw 50%Worthing 25% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.55
75%
Betarazi pick

Wealdstone or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.44Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 50% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +76%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗50% · @3.50
Double chanceWealdstone or draw ✓75% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7% · fair 15.37

Wealdstone vs Worthing: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Worthing travel to face Wealdstone on Saturday 17 October in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Wealdstone, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Yeovil Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Worthing, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ipswich Town U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Worthing, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Wealdstone.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Worthing 1–0 Wealdstone.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wealdstone 1.6 xG, Worthing 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wealdstone 25%, draw 50%, Worthing 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Wealdstone or draw (75%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Wealdstone or draw (75%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wealdstone 1–1 Worthing. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wealdstone25%fair 4.01 · @2.45
Draw50%fair 1.99 · @3.50
Worthing25%fair 4.01 · @2.45
3.10Expected goals
1.55Wealdstone xG
1.55Worthing xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%

From our goals model: Wealdstone 1.6 – 1.6 Worthing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗50%1.993.50 ▲
Double chanceWealdstone or draw ✓75%1.331.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.83–
Draw no betWealdstone (draw no bet) ✓50%2.00–
Asian handicapWorthing +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreWealdstone to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wealdstone / FT Wealdstone ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗7%15.37–

Recent results

Wealdstone – last 6

LLDWLL
10 Octvs Yeovil Town0–6L
3 Oct@ Barrow1–2L
29 Sep@ Forest Green1–1D
26 Sepvs Gateshead4–0W
19 Sep@ Tamworth1–2L
15 Sepvs FC Halifax Town0–1L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Worthing – last 6

LWWDWW
13 Octvs Ipswich Town U211–2L
10 Octvs Solihull Moors5–0W
3 Oct@ Gateshead2–1W
29 Sep@ Yeovil Town1–1D
26 Sepvs FC Halifax Town2–1W
19 Sep@ Hartlepool3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Worthing v Wealdstone1–0
Wealdstone vs Worthing head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT AFC Rushden & Diamonds2 Morecambe1 120%3.75X20%3.90260%1.67 1.1–2.0xG 2Morecambe to win 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wealdstone vs Worthing?

Our pick is Wealdstone or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Wealdstone vs Worthing?

On our numbers Wealdstone have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 50% and Worthing 25%.

How many goals will there be in Wealdstone vs Worthing?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wealdstone vs Worthing?

Our predicted score is Wealdstone 1–1 Worthing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Wealdstone vs Worthing?

Wealdstone vs Worthing (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.