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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spalding United v Alvechurch: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Spalding United

LWDLW
2–2
FT

Alvechurch

DLWDL
Spalding United 58%Draw 20%Alvechurch 22% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.95
58%
Betarazi pick

Spalding United to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpalding United to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.60

Spalding United vs Alvechurch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alvechurch travel to face Spalding United on Saturday 17 October in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Spalding United, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marine, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Alvechurch, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Halesowen Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Spalding United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Alvechurch.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spalding United 1.8 xG, Alvechurch 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spalding United 58%, draw 20%, Alvechurch 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Spalding United to win (58%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spalding United 1–0 Alvechurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spalding United58%fair 1.71 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.50
Alvechurch22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
2.73Expected goals
1.77Spalding United xG
0.95Alvechurch xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Spalding United 1.8 – 1.0 Alvechurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpalding United to win ✗58%1.711.83 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.00–
Draw no betSpalding United (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapAlvechurch +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreSpalding United to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultSpalding United ahead at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spalding United / FT Spalding United ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.60–

Recent results

Spalding United – last 6

LWDLWW
10 Oct@ Marine0–1L
6 Octvs Bury Town4–0W
3 Oct@ Bury Town1–1D
26 Sep@ Chorley1–2L
19 Sepvs Hanley Town2–0W
12 Sepvs Bedford Town2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Alvechurch – last 6

DLWDLD
13 Oct@ Halesowen Town1–1D
10 Octvs Bury Town0–1L
3 Oct@ Cambridge City2–1W
29 Sepvs Stourbridge0–0D
26 Sepvs Bourne Town1–2L
22 Sep@ Anstey Nomads2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spalding United and Alvechurch.

Spalding United vs Alvechurch head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT Bury1 Harrogate Town1 122%3.40X21%3.70256%1.83 1.7–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.53 ✗
FT AFC Rushden & Diamonds2 Morecambe1 120%3.75X20%3.90260%1.67 1.1–2.0xG 2Morecambe to win 60%@1.67 ✗
FT Altrincham0 United of Manchester0 168%1.33X20%4.50212%7.00 2.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Barrow0 Gloucester City0 167%1.42X19%4.10214%6.00 2.1–0.8xG 1Barrow to win 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Boreham Wood3 Woking2 166%1.45X18%4.20216%5.75 2.3–1.0xG 1Boreham Wood to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Boston United1 Scunthorpe3 148%2.20X21%3.50232%2.70 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.70 ✓
FT Carlisle2 Tamworth1 161%1.53X20%4.00220%5.00 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Chesham United0 Forest Green0 118%3.90X24%3.75258%1.70 2.2–3.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 78%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spalding United vs Alvechurch?

Our pick is Spalding United to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Spalding United vs Alvechurch?

On our numbers Spalding United have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Alvechurch 22%.

How many goals will there be in Spalding United vs Alvechurch?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spalding United vs Alvechurch?

Our predicted score is Spalding United 1–0 Alvechurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Spalding United vs Alvechurch?

Spalding United vs Alvechurch (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.