ADO Den Haag vs MVV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MVV travel to face ADO Den Haag on Friday 13 February in the Eerste Divisie, with Bingoal Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADO Den Haag 2.5 xG, MVV 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADO Den Haag 72%, draw 16%, MVV 12%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADO Den Haag 2–1 MVV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADO Den Haag72%fair 1.39 · @1.17
Draw16%fair 6.32 · @7.25
MVV12%fair 8.24 · @13.00
3.52Expected goals
2.52ADO Den Haag xG
0.99MVV xG
59%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: ADO Den Haag 2.5 – 1.0 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
ADO Den Haag
MVV
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+14%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+14%
Our expected goals here
2.36
0.99
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADO Den Haag to win✓
72%
1.39
1.17
Double chance
ADO Den Haag or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
ADO Den Haag (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
ADO Den Haag -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.48
First team to score
ADO Den Haag to score first✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
ADO Den Haag ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ADO Den Haag / FT ADO Den Haag✗
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
ADO Den Haag
No recent results on record.
MVV
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADO Den Haag and MVV.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs MVV?
On our numbers ADO Den Haag have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and MVV 12%.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs MVV?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs MVV?
Our predicted score is ADO Den Haag 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is ADO Den Haag vs MVV?
ADO Den Haag vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Bingoal Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
