Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDe Graafschap to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.32
Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong PSV U21 welcome De Graafschap to De Herdgang for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 13 February (20:00 WAT). In the table, Jong PSV U21 are 17th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; De Graafschap are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong PSV U21 1.7 xG, De Graafschap 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong PSV U21 38%, draw 23%, De Graafschap 39%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong PSV U21 2–1 De Graafschap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong PSV U2138%fair 2.62 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.10
De Graafschap39%fair 2.58 · @2.25
3.32Expected goals
1.69Jong PSV U21 xG
1.63De Graafschap xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Jong PSV U21 1.7 – 1.6 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong PSV U21
De Graafschap
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-26%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.41
1.27
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✓
39%
2.58
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.25
Draw no bet
De Graafschap (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
De Graafschap +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.48
First team to score
Jong PSV U21 to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong PSV U21 / FT Jong PSV U21✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
Jong PSV U21
No recent results on record.
De Graafschap
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong PSV U21 and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers Jong PSV U21 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and De Graafschap 39%.
How many goals will there be in Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is Jong PSV U21 2–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap?
Jong PSV U21 vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Herdgang.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag3