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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dordrecht v Emmen: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · M-Scores Stadion
1–0
FT
Dordrecht 46%Draw 22%Emmen 31% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.61
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Emmen to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDordrecht to win ✓46% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78

Dordrecht vs Emmen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Emmen travel to face Dordrecht on Friday 13 February in the Eerste Divisie, with M-Scores Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Dordrecht are 4th, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Emmen are 6th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dordrecht 1.7 xG, Emmen 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dordrecht 46%, draw 22%, Emmen 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Emmen to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dordrecht 1–1 Emmen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dordrecht46%fair 2.16 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.75
Emmen31%fair 3.19 · @3.60
3.30Expected goals
1.69Dordrecht xG
1.61Emmen xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Dordrecht 1.7 – 1.6 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

DordrechtEmmen
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average-23%-3%
Goals conceded vs average+28%+15%
Our expected goals here1.601.96

Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDordrecht to win ✓46%2.161.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.50
Draw no betDordrecht (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapEmmen +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.231.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.291.20
First team to scoreDordrecht to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dordrecht / FT Dordrecht ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.78–

Recent results

Dordrecht

No recent results on record.

Emmen

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dordrecht and Emmen.

Dordrecht vs Emmen head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dordrecht vs Emmen?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Dordrecht vs Emmen?

On our numbers Dordrecht have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Emmen 31%.

How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs Emmen?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Emmen?

Our predicted score is Dordrecht 1–1 Emmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Dordrecht vs Emmen?

Dordrecht vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at M-Scores Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.