Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Waalwijk vs Roda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waalwijk welcome Roda to Mandemakers Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 13 February (20:00 WAT). In the table, Waalwijk are 12th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Roda are 14th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waalwijk 1.6 xG, Roda 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waalwijk 44%, draw 25%, Roda 31%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waalwijk 1–1 Roda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waalwijk44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.50
Roda31%fair 3.22 · @3.00
2.91Expected goals
1.62Waalwijk xG
1.29Roda xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Waalwijk 1.6 – 1.3 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Waalwijk
Roda
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+2%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.17
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waalwijk to win✗
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Draw no bet
Waalwijk (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Roda +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.18
First team to score
Waalwijk to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Waalwijk
No recent results on record.
Roda
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and Roda.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Roda?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Roda 31%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Roda?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Waalwijk 1–1 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Waalwijk vs Roda?
Waalwijk vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag3