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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Almere City FC v Helmond Sport: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Yanmar Stadion
Almere City FC 68%Draw 19%Helmond Sport 14% Expected goals 2.48 – 1.11
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlmere City FC to win ✗68% · @1.40
Double chanceAlmere City FC or draw ✗86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61

Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Almere City FC welcome Helmond Sport to Yanmar Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 13 February (20:00 WAT). In the table, Almere City FC are 9th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almere City FC 2.5 xG, Helmond Sport 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Almere City FC 68%, draw 19%, Helmond Sport 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almere City FC 2–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almere City FC68%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @4.60
Helmond Sport14%fair 7.25 · @7.00
3.58Expected goals
2.48Almere City FC xG
1.11Helmond Sport xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.5 – 1.1 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Almere City FCHelmond Sport
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average+16%-2%
Goals conceded vs average-22%+22%
Our expected goals here2.571.21

Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmere City FC to win ✗68%1.481.40
Double chanceAlmere City FC or draw ✗86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.48
Draw no betAlmere City FC (draw no bet) ✗83%1.20–
Asian handicapAlmere City FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.161.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.451.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.981.90
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.441.38
First team to scoreAlmere City FC to score first ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultAlmere City FC ahead at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC ✗45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.61–

Recent results

Almere City FC

No recent results on record.

Helmond Sport

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Helmond Sport.

Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

On our numbers Almere City FC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Helmond Sport 14%.

How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?

Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.