Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultDordrecht to win ✗56% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Dordrecht vs MVV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dordrecht welcome MVV to M-Scores Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 6 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Dordrecht are 4th, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; MVV are 8th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dordrecht, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jong PSV U21, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dordrecht 1.8 xG, MVV 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dordrecht 56%, draw 22%, MVV 22%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dordrecht 1–1 MVV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dordrecht56%fair 1.77 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.80
MVV22%fair 4.58 · @6.00
3.17Expected goals
1.82Dordrecht xG
1.34MVV xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dordrecht 1.8 – 1.3 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dordrecht
MVV
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-23%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+28%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.60
1.65
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dordrecht to win✗
56%
1.77
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.60
Draw no bet
Dordrecht (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
MVV +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Dordrecht to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dordrecht / FT Dordrecht✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Dordrecht – last 3
DLW
27 Feb
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Emmen
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
MVV – last 2
DL
27 Feb
vs De Graafschap
3–3
D
13 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dordrecht and MVV.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Dordrecht vs MVV?
On our numbers Dordrecht have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and MVV 22%.
How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs MVV?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Dordrecht 1–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Dordrecht vs MVV?
Dordrecht vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at M-Scores Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
