Helmond Sport 44%Draw 24%FC OSS 33%Expected goals 1.63 – 1.49
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: FC OSS to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHelmond Sport to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Helmond Sport vs FC OSS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Helmond Sport welcome FC OSS to GS Staalwerken Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 6 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Helmond Sport are 7th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; FC OSS are 10th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Helmond Sport, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Jong Ajax, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
FC OSS, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cambuur, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Helmond Sport, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for FC OSS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Helmond Sport 1.6 xG, FC OSS 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Helmond Sport 44%, draw 24%, FC OSS 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: FC OSS to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Helmond Sport 1–1 FC OSS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Helmond Sport44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
FC OSS33%fair 3.07 · @3.30
3.12Expected goals
1.63Helmond Sport xG
1.49FC OSS xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.6 – 1.5 FC OSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Helmond Sport
FC OSS
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-2%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.70
1.73
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Helmond Sport to win✗
44%
2.29
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Draw no bet
Helmond Sport (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
FC OSS +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.15
First team to score
Helmond Sport to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Helmond Sport / FT Helmond Sport✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Helmond Sport – last 3
LLW
27 Feb
@ Jong Ajax
1–5
L
20 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC OSS – last 3
LDL
27 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ VVV Venlo
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Jong AZ
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Helmond Sport and FC OSS.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs FC OSS?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs FC OSS?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC OSS 33%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs FC OSS?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs FC OSS?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–1 FC OSS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs FC OSS?
Helmond Sport vs FC OSS (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
