FC Eindhoven 49%Draw 22%Jong Ajax 30%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.56
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Jong Ajax to win @ 3.95 – our chance 30% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Eindhoven to win ✓49% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.45
FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong Ajax travel to face FC Eindhoven on Friday 6 March in the Eerste Divisie, with Jan Louwers Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, FC Eindhoven are 5th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Eindhoven, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Waalwijk, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Jong Ajax, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Helmond Sport, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Jong Ajax, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for FC Eindhoven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Eindhoven 1.8 xG, Jong Ajax 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Eindhoven 49%, draw 22%, Jong Ajax 30%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Jong Ajax to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Eindhoven 1–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Eindhoven49%fair 2.06 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.00
Jong Ajax30%fair 3.38 · @3.95
3.33Expected goals
1.77FC Eindhoven xG
1.56Jong Ajax xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: FC Eindhoven 1.8 – 1.6 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Eindhoven
Jong Ajax
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-23%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+28%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.67
1.86
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Eindhoven to win✓
49%
2.06
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Draw no bet
FC Eindhoven (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Jong Ajax +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
FC Eindhoven to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Eindhoven / FT FC Eindhoven✓
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
FC Eindhoven – last 3
LLW
27 Feb
@ Waalwijk
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Cambuur
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Almere City FC
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 4
WDWL
27 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
5–1
W
23 Feb
@ Emmen
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax.
What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers FC Eindhoven have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jong Ajax 30%.
How many goals will there be in FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is FC Eindhoven 1–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax?
FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Jan Louwers Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
