Roda 60%Draw 23%Jong PSV U21 17%Expected goals 1.97 – 1.13
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRoda to win ✗60% · @1.44
Double chanceRoda or draw ✗83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Roda vs Jong PSV U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong PSV U21 travel to face Roda on Friday 6 March in the Eerste Divisie, with Parkstad Limburg Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Roda are 14th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong PSV U21 are 17th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong PSV U21, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dordrecht, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roda 2.0 xG, Jong PSV U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roda 60%, draw 23%, Jong PSV U21 17%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roda 1–1 Jong PSV U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roda60%fair 1.68 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.80
Jong PSV U2117%fair 5.74 · @6.00
3.10Expected goals
1.97Roda xG
1.13Jong PSV U21 xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Roda 2.0 – 1.1 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Roda
Jong PSV U21
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-17%
-26%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.39
0.96
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
60%
1.68
1.44
Double chance
Roda or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Draw no bet
Roda (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Jong PSV U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.42
First team to score
Roda to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Roda ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Roda – last 2
DW
27 Feb
@ Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jong PSV U21 – last 3
DWL
27 Feb
vs Dordrecht
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Emmen
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs De Graafschap
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and Jong PSV U21.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
On our numbers Roda have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jong PSV U21 17%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
Our predicted score is Roda 1–1 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
