Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗44% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 March the Eerste Divisie brings VVV Venlo against Waalwijk at Seacon - De Koel. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, VVV Venlo are 2nd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Waalwijk are 12th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Waalwijk, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Eindhoven, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VVV Venlo 1.8 xG, Waalwijk 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VVV Venlo 44%, draw 23%, Waalwijk 34%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: VVV Venlo 2–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VVV Venlo44%fair 2.29 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.70
Waalwijk34%fair 2.96 · @2.65
3.29Expected goals
1.80VVV Venlo xG
1.48Waalwijk xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: VVV Venlo 1.8 – 1.5 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
VVV Venlo
Waalwijk
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+27%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-10%
Our expected goals here
2.05
1.55
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VVV Venlo to win✗
44%
2.29
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.42
Draw no bet
VVV Venlo (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Waalwijk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
VVV Venlo to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
VVV Venlo – last 2
LD
27 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 3
WDL
27 Feb
vs FC Eindhoven
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Roda
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VVV Venlo and Waalwijk.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers VVV Venlo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Waalwijk 34%.
How many goals will there be in VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is VVV Venlo 2–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk?
VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Seacon - De Koel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
