Cambuur 57%Draw 20%Jong AZ 22%Expected goals 2.18 – 1.51
70%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.35
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultCambuur to win57% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score69% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.14
Cambuur vs Jong AZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong AZ travel to face Cambuur on Friday 20 March in the Eerste Divisie, with Kooi Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Cambuur, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Helmond Sport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Jong AZ, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with MVV, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cambuur, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Jong AZ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cambuur 2.2 xG, Jong AZ 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cambuur 57%, draw 20%, Jong AZ 22%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cambuur 2–1 Jong AZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cambuur57%fair 1.74 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.60
Jong AZ22%fair 4.51 · @4.80
3.68Expected goals
2.18Cambuur xG
1.51Jong AZ xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Cambuur 2.2 – 1.5 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cambuur
Jong AZ
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-5%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+26%
Our expected goals here
2.17
1.82
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cambuur to win
57%
1.74
1.55
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
69%
1.44
1.42
Draw no bet
Cambuur (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Jong AZ +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.38
First team to score
Cambuur to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Cambuur ahead at half-time
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cambuur / FT Cambuur
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Cambuur – last 6
WDWWWW
16 Mar
@ Helmond Sport
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Roda
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Jong Utrecht
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Almere City FC
3–2
W
27 Feb
@ FC OSS
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs FC Eindhoven
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jong AZ – last 6
DLLLDW
16 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Waalwijk
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Emmen
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Vitesse
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cambuur and Jong AZ.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Cambuur vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers Cambuur have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong AZ 22%.
How many goals will there be in Cambuur vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cambuur vs Jong AZ?
Our predicted score is Cambuur 2–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Cambuur vs Jong AZ?
Cambuur vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Kooi Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.