Value bet: VVV Venlo to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEmmen to win ✗44% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.64
Emmen vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 March the Eerste Divisie brings Emmen against VVV Venlo at De Oude Meerdijk. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Emmen are 6th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Emmen, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ADO Den Haag, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
VVV Venlo, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Jong Ajax, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emmen 1.7 xG, VVV Venlo 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emmen 44%, draw 20%, VVV Venlo 35%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: VVV Venlo to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emmen 1–1 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emmen44%fair 2.25 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
VVV Venlo35%fair 2.85 · @3.35
3.48Expected goals
1.70Emmen xG
1.78VVV Venlo xG
69%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Emmen 1.7 – 1.8 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Emmen
VVV Venlo
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-3%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.67
2.30
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emmen to win✗
44%
2.25
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.42
Draw no bet
Emmen (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Emmen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
First team to score
VVV Venlo to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
Emmen – last 6
LWLDLL
13 Mar
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Jong AZ
3–2
W
27 Feb
vs Willem II
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Jong PSV U21
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dordrecht
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
VVV Venlo – last 5
LLLLD
17 Mar
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ MVV
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Waalwijk
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and VVV Venlo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Emmen vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers Emmen have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and VVV Venlo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is Emmen 1–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs VVV Venlo?
Emmen vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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