Jong Utrecht 43%Draw 23%Dordrecht 34%Expected goals 1.84 – 1.47
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Jong Utrecht to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJong Utrecht to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 20 March: Jong Utrecht v Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie, played at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch. In the table, Jong Utrecht are 20th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Dordrecht are 4th (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Utrecht, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ADO Den Haag, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Dordrecht, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC OSS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dordrecht, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Jong Utrecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Utrecht 1.8 xG, Dordrecht 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Utrecht 43%, draw 23%, Dordrecht 34%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Jong Utrecht to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Utrecht 1–1 Dordrecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Utrecht43%fair 2.31 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.55
Dordrecht34%fair 2.95 · @2.55
3.30Expected goals
1.84Jong Utrecht xG
1.47Dordrecht xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Jong Utrecht 1.8 – 1.5 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong Utrecht
Dordrecht
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-6%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
+28%
Our expected goals here
2.19
1.53
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong Utrecht to win✓
43%
2.31
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Draw no bet
Jong Utrecht (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Dordrecht +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
First team to score
Jong Utrecht to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong Utrecht / FT Jong Utrecht✓
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Jong Utrecht – last 6
LWLLLD
17 Mar
@ ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Helmond Sport
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Cambuur
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Almere City FC
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ De Graafschap
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Willem II
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dordrecht – last 5
DDDLW
17 Mar
vs FC OSS
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Emmen
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Utrecht and Dordrecht.
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Jong Utrecht have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dordrecht 34%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
Our predicted score is Jong Utrecht 1–1 Dordrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht?
Jong Utrecht vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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