Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 20 March: Jong Ajax v Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie, played at Sportpark De Toekomst. In the table, Jong Ajax are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Almere City FC are 9th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Ajax, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over VVV Venlo, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Almere City FC, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Waalwijk, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Jong Ajax, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Almere City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Ajax 1.3 xG, Almere City FC 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Ajax 22%, draw 19%, Almere City FC 59%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Ajax 1–2 Almere City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Ajax22%fair 4.51 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.33
Almere City FC59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
3.52Expected goals
1.30Jong Ajax xG
2.22Almere City FC xG
65%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.3 – 2.2 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-8%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.30
2.22
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.35
Draw no bet
Almere City FC (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Jong Ajax +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.91
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
First team to score
Almere City FC to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Almere City FC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✓
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Jong Ajax – last 6
WWLWDW
17 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
5–1
W
23 Feb
@ Emmen
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Almere City FC – last 6
DWLWLL
17 Mar
vs Waalwijk
2–2
D
13 Mar
@ Vitesse
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Cambuur
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ FC Eindhoven
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and Almere City FC.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Almere City FC 59%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–2 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC?
Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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