Roda 56%Draw 22%Helmond Sport 22%Expected goals 1.90 – 1.18
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultRoda to win ✗56% · @1.64
Double chanceRoda or draw ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Roda vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Roda welcome Helmond Sport to Parkstad Limburg Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 20 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Roda are 14th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Roda, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vitesse, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Helmond Sport, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cambuur, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roda 1.9 xG, Helmond Sport 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roda 56%, draw 22%, Helmond Sport 22%.
Lower-risk option: Roda or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roda 1–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roda56%fair 1.79 · @1.64
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.10
Helmond Sport22%fair 4.62 · @4.60
3.08Expected goals
1.90Roda xG
1.18Helmond Sport xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Roda 1.9 – 1.2 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Roda
Helmond Sport
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-17%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+22%
Our expected goals here
1.83
1.26
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
56%
1.79
1.64
Double chance
Roda or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Draw no bet
Roda (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Helmond Sport +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Roda to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Roda ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Roda – last 5
LDLDW
16 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Jong PSV U21
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 6
LLDLLW
16 Mar
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Jong Ajax
1–5
L
20 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and Helmond Sport.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Roda vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Roda have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Helmond Sport 22%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Roda 1–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Helmond Sport?
Roda vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur3