Dordrecht 28%Draw 23%Willem II 49%Expected goals 1.13 – 1.85
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Willem II to win @ 2.45 – our chance 49% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWillem II to win ✓49% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.18
Dordrecht vs Willem II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dordrecht welcome Willem II to M-Scores Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 24 April (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Dordrecht, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Almere City FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Willem II, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Jong AZ, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Willem II, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Dordrecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dordrecht 1.1 xG, Willem II 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dordrecht 28%, draw 23%, Willem II 49%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Willem II to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dordrecht 1–1 Willem II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dordrecht28%fair 3.58 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.55
Willem II49%fair 2.02 · @2.45
2.98Expected goals
1.13Dordrecht xG
1.85Willem II xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Dordrecht 1.1 – 1.9 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dordrecht
Willem II
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-23%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+28%
-28%
Our expected goals here
1.01
2.14
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✓
49%
2.02
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.45
Draw no bet
Willem II (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Dordrecht +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Willem II to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Willem II ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✓
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Dordrecht – last 6
LWDLLD
17 Apr
@ Almere City FC
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs ADO Den Haag
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Roda
0–3
L
20 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs FC OSS
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 6
WWWWWD
17 Apr
vs Jong AZ
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Roda
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Jong PSV U21
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ MVV
5–0
W
13 Mar
@ FC OSS
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Den Bosch
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dordrecht and Willem II.
What is the prediction for Dordrecht vs Willem II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Willem II?
On our numbers Dordrecht have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Willem II 49%.
How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs Willem II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is Dordrecht 1–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dordrecht vs Willem II?
Dordrecht vs Willem II (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at M-Scores Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3