Value bet: Jong Ajax to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJong Utrecht to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.72
Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 24 April: Jong Ajax v Jong Utrecht in the Eerste Divisie, played at Sportpark De Toekomst. In the table, Jong Ajax are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Utrecht are 20th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Ajax, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jong PSV U21, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Jong Utrecht, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Den Bosch, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Ajax 1.8 xG, Jong Utrecht 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Ajax 39%, draw 22%, Jong Utrecht 40%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: Jong Ajax to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Ajax 1–1 Jong Utrecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Ajax39%fair 2.60 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.80
Jong Utrecht40%fair 2.53 · @2.25
3.53Expected goals
1.81Jong Ajax xG
1.72Jong Utrecht xG
70%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.8 – 1.7 Jong Utrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong Ajax
Jong Utrecht
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-8%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
+25%
Our expected goals here
2.08
1.80
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong Utrecht to win✓
40%
2.53
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Draw no bet
Jong Utrecht (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Jong Utrecht +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
First team to score
Jong Ajax to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong Ajax / FT Jong Ajax✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.72
–
Recent results
Jong Ajax – last 6
WLLLLW
17 Apr
@ Jong PSV U21
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs FC OSS
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Vitesse
1–6
L
3 Apr
@ ADO Den Haag
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs Almere City FC
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jong Utrecht – last 6
DWLLWL
20 Apr
@ Den Bosch
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs FC Eindhoven
3–0
W
13 Apr
vs Vitesse
0–3
L
6 Apr
@ FC OSS
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs Dordrecht
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and Jong Utrecht.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jong Utrecht 40%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–1 Jong Utrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht?
Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II2