FC Eindhoven 48%Draw 20%Helmond Sport 32%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.58
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Helmond Sport to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Eindhoven to win ✓48% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Helmond Sport travel to face FC Eindhoven on Friday 24 April in the Eerste Divisie, with Jan Louwers Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, FC Eindhoven are 5th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Eindhoven, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Jong Utrecht, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Helmond Sport, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over VVV Venlo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Eindhoven 1.7 xG, Helmond Sport 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Eindhoven 48%, draw 20%, Helmond Sport 32%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Helmond Sport to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Eindhoven 1–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Eindhoven48%fair 2.09 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.80
Helmond Sport32%fair 3.14 · @3.70
3.28Expected goals
1.70FC Eindhoven xG
1.58Helmond Sport xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: FC Eindhoven 1.7 – 1.6 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Eindhoven
Helmond Sport
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-23%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+28%
+22%
Our expected goals here
1.70
1.98
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Eindhoven to win✓
48%
2.09
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.55
Draw no bet
FC Eindhoven (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Helmond Sport +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
First team to score
FC Eindhoven to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Eindhoven / FT FC Eindhoven✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
FC Eindhoven – last 6
LLLDLW
17 Apr
@ Jong Utrecht
0–3
L
10 Apr
vs Roda
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ ADO Den Haag
0–4
L
3 Apr
vs De Graafschap
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ FC OSS
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Jong PSV U21
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 6
WDLDLL
17 Apr
vs VVV Venlo
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs Waalwijk
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Jong AZ
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Roda
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Eindhoven and Helmond Sport.
What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers FC Eindhoven have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Helmond Sport 32%.
How many goals will there be in FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is FC Eindhoven 1–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport?
FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Jan Louwers Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II2