Value bet: Emmen to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDe Graafschap to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.38
Emmen vs De Graafschap: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 24 April the Eerste Divisie brings Emmen against De Graafschap at De Oude Meerdijk. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Emmen are 6th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; De Graafschap are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Emmen, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Roda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
De Graafschap, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cambuur, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emmen 1.7 xG, De Graafschap 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emmen 36%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 42%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Emmen to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emmen 1–1 De Graafschap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emmen36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.85
De Graafschap42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
3.48Expected goals
1.75Emmen xG
1.73De Graafschap xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Emmen 1.7 – 1.7 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Emmen
De Graafschap
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-3%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.83
1.58
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✗
42%
2.39
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Draw no bet
De Graafschap (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
De Graafschap +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
First team to score
Emmen to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emmen / FT Emmen✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.38
–
Recent results
Emmen – last 6
DLWDLD
17 Apr
@ Roda
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ Waalwijk
0–5
L
6 Apr
vs MVV
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Vitesse
3–3
D
24 Mar
vs Cambuur
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
WWDLLD
17 Apr
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
6 Apr
vs Jong AZ
5–0
W
3 Apr
@ FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs ADO Den Haag
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Vitesse
1–4
L
27 Feb
@ MVV
3–3
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Emmen vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers Emmen have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and De Graafschap 42%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is Emmen 1–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Emmen vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II2