Jong AZ 40%Draw 22%Roda 38%Expected goals 1.74 – 1.67
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultJong AZ to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.96
Jong AZ vs Roda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong AZ welcome Roda to AFAS Trainingscomplex for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 24 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Jong AZ are 19th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Roda are 14th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong AZ, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Willem II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Roda, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Emmen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Roda, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Jong AZ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong AZ 1.7 xG, Roda 1.7 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong AZ 40%, draw 22%, Roda 38%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong AZ 2–1 Roda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong AZ40%fair 2.52 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.85
Roda38%fair 2.64 · @2.55
3.41Expected goals
1.74Jong AZ xG
1.67Roda xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 1.7 – 1.7 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong AZ
Roda
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+20%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+26%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.76
1.65
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong AZ to win✓
40%
2.52
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.35
Draw no bet
Jong AZ (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Roda +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
First team to score
Jong AZ to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong AZ / FT Jong AZ✓
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.96
–
Recent results
Jong AZ – last 6
LLLWDL
17 Apr
@ Willem II
0–3
L
13 Apr
vs Jong PSV U21
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ De Graafschap
0–5
L
3 Apr
vs Helmond Sport
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Waalwijk
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Roda – last 6
DWLWDL
17 Apr
vs Emmen
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
6 Apr
vs Willem II
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Dordrecht
3–0
W
20 Mar
vs Helmond Sport
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong AZ and Roda.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Roda?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Roda 38%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Roda?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Roda?
Jong AZ vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II2