Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 3.95 – our chance 30% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNotts County to win ✓44% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Accrington ST vs Notts County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Notts County travel to face Accrington ST on Tuesday 17 March in the League Two, with The Wham Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Current form
Accrington ST, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barnet, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.2 xG, Notts County 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 30%, draw 26%, Notts County 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Accrington ST to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Notts County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST30%fair 3.29 · @3.95
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.25
Notts County44%fair 2.28 · @1.96
2.56Expected goals
1.23Accrington ST xG
1.34Notts County xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.2 – 1.3 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Accrington ST
Notts County
Attack vs League Two average
+12%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.33
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notts County to win✓
44%
2.28
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Notts County (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Accrington ST +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Notts County to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notts County / FT Notts County✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
Accrington ST – last 3
LLW
24 Feb
vs Barnet
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Notts County – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Tranmere
5–0
W
17 Feb
@ Shrewsbury
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Notts County.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Notts County?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Notts County?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Notts County 44%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Notts County?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Notts County?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Notts County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Notts County?
Accrington ST vs Notts County (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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