Grimsby 56%Draw 23%Fleetwood Town 21%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.02
79%
Betarazi pick
Grimsby or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Grimsby to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGrimsby to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceGrimsby or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 March the League Two brings Grimsby against Fleetwood Town at Blundell Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Grimsby are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Fleetwood Town are 16th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Grimsby, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bromley, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Fleetwood Town, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cheltenham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fleetwood Town, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Grimsby.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 1.8 xG, Fleetwood Town 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 56%, draw 23%, Fleetwood Town 21%.
Lower-risk option: Grimsby or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Grimsby to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grimsby or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 1–1 Fleetwood Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grimsby56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.50
Fleetwood Town21%fair 4.77 · @3.80
2.79Expected goals
1.77Grimsby xG
1.02Fleetwood Town xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.8 – 1.0 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Attack vs League Two average
+25%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.92
1.15
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Grimsby or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Draw no bet
Grimsby (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Fleetwood Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Grimsby to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Grimsby – last 5
DWLDL
7 Mar
vs Bromley
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Salford City
3–1
W
21 Feb
@ Bristol Rovers
1–3
L
18 Feb
vs Walsall
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Wolves
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town – last 4
DWWW
10 Mar
vs Cheltenham
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Walsall
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Barrow
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Crewe
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Fleetwood Town.
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Grimsby or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fleetwood Town 21%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–1 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bromley1
Notts County4
Barrow1