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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chesterfield v Oldham: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · SMH Group Stadium

Chesterfield

WDW
0–3
FT

Oldham

DWW
Chesterfield 47%Draw 24%Oldham 28% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.12
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultChesterfield to win ✗47% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59

Chesterfield vs Oldham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 March: Chesterfield v Oldham in the League Two, played at SMH Group Stadium. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Oldham are 18th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Chesterfield, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Colchester, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Oldham, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bromley, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.6 xG, Oldham 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 47%, draw 24%, Oldham 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–1 Oldham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chesterfield47%fair 2.11 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.50
Oldham28%fair 3.53 · @3.60
2.72Expected goals
1.60Chesterfield xG
1.12Oldham xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.6 – 1.1 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ChesterfieldOldham
Attack vs League Two average+18%-8%
Goals conceded vs average+9%-4%
Our expected goals here1.751.15

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChesterfield to win ✗47%2.111.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.70
Draw no betChesterfield (draw no bet) ✗63%1.60–
Asian handicapOldham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
First team to scoreChesterfield to score first ✗55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✗29%3.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.59–

Recent results

Chesterfield – last 3

WDW
3 Marvs Colchester3–0W
21 Feb@ Crawley Town1–1D
17 Febvs Gillingham1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Oldham – last 3

DWW
3 Mar@ Bromley0–0D
21 Feb@ Gillingham3–0W
17 Febvs Bristol Rovers2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Oldham.

Chesterfield vs Oldham head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub
FT Newport County0 Bromley1 128%3.85X26%3.50246%1.90 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Accrington ST0 Notts County4 130%3.95X26%3.25244%1.96 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗
FT Bristol Rovers1 Shrewsbury0 147%1.99X26%3.25227%3.85 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✗
FT Cheltenham1 Crewe1 140%2.75X25%3.30235%2.48 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Crawley Town1 Barnet1 125%3.50X22%3.75253%1.94 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Gillingham0 Swindon Town2 137%3.05X26%3.40238%2.24 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Grimsby1 Fleetwood Town0 156%1.91X23%3.50221%3.80 1.8–1.0xG 1XGrimsby or draw 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Salford City3 Barrow1 164%1.52X22%3.95215%6.40 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Oldham?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Chesterfield vs Oldham?

On our numbers Chesterfield have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oldham 28%.

How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Oldham?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Oldham?

Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Chesterfield vs Oldham?

Chesterfield vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.