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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Salford City v Barrow: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Peninsula Stadium
3–1
FT

Barrow

LDLL
Salford City 64%Draw 22%Barrow 15% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.85
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSalford City to win ✓64% · @1.52
Double chanceSalford City or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Salford City vs Barrow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Salford City welcome Barrow to Peninsula Stadium for a League Two fixture on Tuesday 17 March (20:45 WAT).

Current form

Salford City, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Walsall, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Barrow, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bristol Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Salford City, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Barrow.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Salford City 2.0 xG, Barrow 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Salford City 64%, draw 22%, Barrow 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salford City 2–0 Barrow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Salford City64%fair 1.57 · @1.52
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.95
Barrow15%fair 6.88 · @6.40
2.82Expected goals
1.97Salford City xG
0.85Barrow xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Salford City 2.0 – 0.8 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Salford CityBarrow
Attack vs League Two average+29%-6%
Goals conceded vs average-12%+8%
Our expected goals here2.150.94

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalford City to win ✓64%1.571.52
Double chanceSalford City or draw ✓85%1.171.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.90 ▲
Draw no betSalford City (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapSalford City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.181.12
First team to scoreSalford City to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultSalford City ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salford City / FT Salford City ✓41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Salford City – last 6

WWLLLL
10 Marvs Walsall1–0W
7 Marvs Barnet2–0W
3 Mar@ Grimsby1–3L
24 Febvs Shrewsbury1–2L
21 Feb@ Cheltenham2–3L
17 Febvs Newport County1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Barrow – last 4

LDLL
10 Marvs Bristol Rovers0–2L
6 Mar@ Cheltenham2–2D
21 Feb@ Fleetwood Town2–3L
17 Febvs Harrogate Town0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Salford City and Barrow.

Salford City vs Barrow head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Salford City vs Barrow?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Salford City vs Barrow?

On our numbers Salford City have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barrow 15%.

How many goals will there be in Salford City vs Barrow?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Salford City vs Barrow?

Our predicted score is Salford City 2–0 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Salford City vs Barrow?

Salford City vs Barrow (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Peninsula Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.