Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSwansea to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceSwansea or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Swansea vs Preston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Swansea welcome Preston to Swansea.com Stadium for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Swansea are 6th, upper half, on 26 points after 15 matches; Preston are 24th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swansea 1.8 xG, Preston 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swansea 58%, draw 22%, Preston 19%.
Lower-risk option: Swansea or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swansea 1–0 Preston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swansea58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.55
Preston19%fair 5.17 · @4.60
2.64Expected goals
1.77Swansea xG
0.87Preston xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Swansea 1.8 – 0.9 Preston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swansea to win✗
58%
1.72
1.75
Double chance
Swansea or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Swansea (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Preston +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Swansea to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Swansea ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swansea / FT Swansea✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Swansea – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Bristol City
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Preston – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Blackburn
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Preston.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Swansea vs Preston?
On our numbers Swansea have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Preston 19%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Preston?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Preston?
Our predicted score is Swansea 1–0 Preston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Swansea vs Preston?
Swansea vs Preston (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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