Value bet: Portsmouth to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWrexham to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.52
Wrexham vs Portsmouth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 24 February: Wrexham v Portsmouth in the Championship, played at SToK Cae Ras. In the table, Wrexham are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Portsmouth are 11th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Wrexham, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Ipswich, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wrexham 1.4 xG, Portsmouth 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wrexham 44%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 29%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Portsmouth to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wrexham 1–1 Portsmouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wrexham44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.25
Portsmouth29%fair 3.48 · @3.75
2.42Expected goals
1.35Wrexham xG
1.07Portsmouth xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Wrexham 1.4 – 1.1 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wrexham to win✓
44%
2.27
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Wrexham (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Portsmouth +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Wrexham to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wrexham / FT Wrexham✓
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Wrexham – last 3
WDW
21 Feb
vs Ipswich
5–3
W
17 Feb
@ Bristol City
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Ipswich
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portsmouth – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Millwall
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Charlton
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wrexham and Portsmouth.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Portsmouth 29%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
Our predicted score is Wrexham 1–1 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Wrexham vs Portsmouth?
Wrexham vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at SToK Cae Ras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester1
Ipswich2
Hull City4