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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Blackburn v Bristol City: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Ewood Park
1–2
FT
Blackburn 43%Draw 27%Bristol City 31% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.08
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultBlackburn to win ✗43% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Blackburn vs Bristol City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 24 February: Blackburn v Bristol City in the Championship, played at Ewood Park. In the table, Blackburn are 13th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Bristol City are 17th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blackburn 1.4 xG, Bristol City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Blackburn 43%, draw 27%, Bristol City 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackburn 1–1 Bristol City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blackburn43%fair 2.34 · @2.42
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Bristol City31%fair 3.26 · @2.98
2.49Expected goals
1.41Blackburn xG
1.08Bristol City xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Blackburn 1.4 – 1.1 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBlackburn to win ✗43%2.342.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.85
Draw no betBlackburn (draw no bet) ✗58%1.72–
Asian handicapBristol City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.801.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.07
First team to scoreBlackburn to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Blackburn / FT Blackburn ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.24–

Recent results

Blackburn – last 1

W
20 Febvs Preston1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Bristol City – last 2

LD
21 Feb@ Swansea0–1L
17 Febvs Wrexham2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Bristol City.

Blackburn vs Bristol City head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Bristol City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Blackburn vs Bristol City?

On our numbers Blackburn have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bristol City 31%.

How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Bristol City?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Bristol City?

Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Blackburn vs Bristol City?

Blackburn vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.