Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSouthampton to win ✓56% · @1.73
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Southampton vs QPR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Southampton welcome QPR to St. Mary's Stadium for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 24 February (21:00 WAT). In the table, Southampton are 7th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; QPR are 8th (upper half) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southampton 1.8 xG, QPR 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southampton 56%, draw 25%, QPR 19%.
Lower-risk option: Southampton or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Southampton or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southampton 1–1 QPR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southampton56%fair 1.78 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.70
QPR19%fair 5.26 · @4.45
2.83Expected goals
1.81Southampton xG
1.02QPR xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
3–16%
From our goals model: Southampton 1.8 – 1.0 QPR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton to win✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Double chance
Southampton or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Southampton (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
QPR +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Southampton to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Southampton ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton / FT Southampton✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Southampton – last 1
D
21 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
QPR – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Hull City
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southampton and QPR.
Our pick is Southampton or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
On our numbers Southampton have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and QPR 19%.
How many goals will there be in Southampton vs QPR?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs QPR?
Our predicted score is Southampton 1–1 QPR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Southampton vs QPR?
Southampton vs QPR (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Mary's Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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