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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Middlesbrough v Leicester: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough 57%Draw 22%Leicester 21% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.22
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗57% · @1.53
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Middlesbrough vs Leicester: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 24 February the Championship brings Middlesbrough against Leicester at Riverside Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Middlesbrough 1.8 xG, Leicester 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Middlesbrough 57%, draw 22%, Leicester 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middlesbrough 1–1 Leicester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Middlesbrough57%fair 1.76 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.10
Leicester21%fair 4.73 · @5.80
3.06Expected goals
1.84Middlesbrough xG
1.22Leicester xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Middlesbrough 1.8 – 1.2 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddlesbrough to win ✗57%1.761.53
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓79%1.271.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.73 ▲
Draw no betMiddlesbrough (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapLeicester +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
First team to scoreMiddlesbrough to score first57%1.75–
Half-time resultMiddlesbrough ahead at half-time ✗39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✗32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Middlesbrough – last 2

DL
21 Febvs Oxford United0–0D
16 Feb@ Coventry1–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Leicester – last 1

D
21 Feb@ Stoke City2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Leicester.

Middlesbrough vs Leicester head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Leicester?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Leicester?

On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leicester 21%.

How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Leicester?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Leicester?

Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 1–1 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Middlesbrough vs Leicester?

Middlesbrough vs Leicester (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.