Exeter City 30%Draw 25%Bolton 44%Expected goals 1.19 – 1.44
72%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultBolton to win44% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.24
Exeter City vs Bolton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Exeter City v Bolton in the League One, played at St James Park.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Exeter City 1.2 xG, Bolton 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Exeter City 30%, draw 25%, Bolton 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Exeter City 1–1 Bolton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Exeter City30%fair 3.30 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
Bolton44%fair 2.26 · @2.12
2.62Expected goals
1.19Exeter City xG
1.44Bolton xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.2 – 1.4 Bolton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Exeter City
Bolton
Attack vs League One average
-0%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.35
1.56
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolton to win
44%
2.26
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.73
Draw no bet
Bolton (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Exeter City +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Bolton to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolton / FT Bolton
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Exeter City – last 2
DD
21 Feb
@ Peterborough
3–3
D
17 Feb
vs Wycombe
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bolton – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Blackpool
2–2
D
17 Feb
@ Reading
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Bolton.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Exeter City vs Bolton?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bolton 44%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Bolton?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Bolton?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Bolton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Bolton?
Exeter City vs Bolton (League One) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leyton Orient1
Barnsley3
Northampton1
Peterborough1
Lincoln
Blackpool
Mansfield Town
AFC Wimbledon
Port Vale
Luton
Reading
Bradford
Rotherham
Plymouth
Stevenage
Stockport County