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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stevenage v Stockport County: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Lamex Stadium

Stevenage

LW
Sat 28 Feb 2026

Stockport County

LWL
Stevenage 36%Draw 28%Stockport County 36% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.19
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultStevenage to win36% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.90

Stevenage vs Stockport County: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 28 February the League One brings Stevenage against Stockport County at Lamex Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Stevenage are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Stockport County are 2nd (among the top four) with 26.

Current form

Stockport County, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Burton Albion, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.2 xG, Stockport County 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 36%, draw 28%, Stockport County 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–1 Stockport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stevenage36%fair 2.77 · @2.66
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.98
Stockport County36%fair 2.79 · @2.78
2.38Expected goals
1.18Stevenage xG
1.19Stockport County xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Stevenage 1.2 – 1.2 Stockport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

StevenageStockport County
Attack vs League One average-3%+15%
Goals conceded vs average-9%-15%
Our expected goals here1.231.27

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStevenage to win36%2.772.66
Double chanceEither team to win72%1.391.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.862.00 ▲
Draw no betStevenage (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapStevenage +0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.521.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.671.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.251.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.111.05
First team to scoreStockport County to score first46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stockport County / FT Stockport County21%4.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.90–

Recent results

Stevenage – last 2

LW
21 Feb@ Wycombe1–3L
17 Febvs Port Vale2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Stockport County – last 3

LWL
24 Feb@ Burton Albion0–3L
21 Febvs Wigan4–2W
17 Feb@ Bradford0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Stockport County.

Stevenage vs Stockport County head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub
FT Leyton Orient1 Barnsley3 145%2.50X24%3.50231%2.60 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Northampton1 Peterborough1 138%2.68X25%3.55237%2.40 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
– Exeter City Bolton 130%3.35X25%3.30244%2.12 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33
– Lincoln Blackpool 165%1.44X22%4.20213%7.10 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25
– Mansfield Town AFC Wimbledon 150%2.10X25%3.25225%3.55 1.6–0.9xG 1XMansfield Town or draw 75%@1.28
– Port Vale Luton 131%3.45X26%3.35244%2.08 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25
– Reading Bradford 141%2.32X29%3.25230%3.00 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.28
– Rotherham Plymouth 127%3.30X25%3.50248%2.08 1.1–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Stockport County?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Stevenage vs Stockport County?

On our numbers Stevenage have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Stockport County 36%.

How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Stockport County?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Stockport County?

Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–1 Stockport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Stevenage vs Stockport County?

Stevenage vs Stockport County (League One) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.