Lincoln 65%Draw 22%Blackpool 13%Expected goals 2.00 – 0.83
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultLincoln to win65% · @1.44
Double chanceLincoln or draw87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.21
Lincoln vs Blackpool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Lincoln v Blackpool in the League One, played at LNER stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln 2.0 xG, Blackpool 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln 65%, draw 22%, Blackpool 13%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln 2–0 Blackpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lincoln65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.20
Blackpool13%fair 7.76 · @7.10
2.83Expected goals
2.00Lincoln xG
0.83Blackpool xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lincoln 2.0 – 0.8 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lincoln
Blackpool
Attack vs League One average
+16%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+19%
Our expected goals here
2.04
0.91
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lincoln to win
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Lincoln or draw
87%
1.15
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Lincoln (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln -0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Lincoln to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Lincoln ahead at half-time
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lincoln / FT Lincoln
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Lincoln – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Mansfield Town
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Northampton
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Blackpool – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ Bolton
2–2
D
17 Feb
vs Mansfield Town
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Blackpool.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lincoln vs Blackpool?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blackpool 13%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Blackpool?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Blackpool?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 2–0 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Blackpool?
Lincoln vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at LNER stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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