Northampton vs Peterborough: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northampton welcome Peterborough to Sixfields Stadium for a League One fixture on Saturday 28 February (13:30 WAT).
Current form
Northampton, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Port Vale, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Northampton 1.4 xG, Peterborough 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Northampton 38%, draw 25%, Peterborough 37%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northampton 1–1 Peterborough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Northampton38%fair 2.64 · @2.68
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.55
Peterborough37%fair 2.71 · @2.40
2.63Expected goals
1.39Northampton xG
1.25Peterborough xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Northampton 1.4 – 1.2 Peterborough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Northampton
Peterborough
Attack vs League One average
-21%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.09
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
38%
2.64
2.68
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
Northampton (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Peterborough +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.18
First team to score
Northampton to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northampton / FT Northampton✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Northampton – last 3
LLL
24 Feb
vs Port Vale
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Leyton Orient
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Lincoln
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Peterborough – last 2
DL
21 Feb
vs Exeter City
3–3
D
17 Feb
@ Barnsley
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Peterborough.
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Peterborough?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Northampton vs Peterborough?
On our numbers Northampton have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Peterborough 37%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Peterborough?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Peterborough?
Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Peterborough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Peterborough?
Northampton vs Peterborough (League One) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Exeter City
Bolton
Lincoln
Port Vale
Rotherham