Rotherham vs Plymouth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Rotherham v Plymouth in the League One, played at Aesseal New York Stadium.
Current form
Rotherham, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bradford, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Plymouth, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luton, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Plymouth, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Rotherham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 1.1 xG, Plymouth 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 27%, draw 25%, Plymouth 48%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 1–1 Plymouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotherham27%fair 3.64 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.50
Plymouth48%fair 2.10 · @2.08
2.64Expected goals
1.07Rotherham xG
1.56Plymouth xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.1 – 1.6 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rotherham
Plymouth
Attack vs League One average
-31%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-3%
Our expected goals here
0.99
1.53
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plymouth to win
48%
2.10
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.70
Draw no bet
Plymouth (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Rotherham +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
2.00
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Plymouth to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Rotherham – last 3
LLL
24 Feb
@ Bradford
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Doncaster
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Burton Albion
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Plymouth – last 3
LWW
24 Feb
@ Luton
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Cardiff
5–2
W
17 Feb
@ Leyton Orient
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Plymouth.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rotherham vs Plymouth?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Plymouth 48%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Plymouth?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Plymouth?
Our predicted score is Rotherham 1–1 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rotherham vs Plymouth?
Rotherham vs Plymouth (League One) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aesseal New York Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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