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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mansfield Town v AFC Wimbledon: numbers & prediction

League One · England · One Call Stadium
Sat 28 Feb 2026
Mansfield Town 50%Draw 25%AFC Wimbledon 25% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.89
75%
Betarazi pick

Mansfield Town or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultMansfield Town to win50% · @2.10
Double chanceMansfield Town or draw75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.53

Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Wimbledon travel to face Mansfield Town on Saturday 28 February in the League One, with One Call Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Mansfield Town are 11th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; AFC Wimbledon are 18th (lower half) with 13.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mansfield Town 1.6 xG, AFC Wimbledon 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mansfield Town 50%, draw 25%, AFC Wimbledon 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mansfield Town or draw (75%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mansfield Town or draw (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mansfield Town 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mansfield Town50%fair 1.99 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.25
AFC Wimbledon25%fair 4.04 · @3.55
2.51Expected goals
1.62Mansfield Town xG
0.89AFC Wimbledon xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Mansfield Town 1.6 – 0.9 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Mansfield TownAFC Wimbledon
Attack vs League One average+2%-33%
Goals conceded vs average-9%+18%
Our expected goals here1.780.74

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMansfield Town to win50%1.992.10 ▲
Double chanceMansfield Town or draw75%1.331.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.791.80
Draw no betMansfield Town (draw no bet)67%1.49–
Asian handicapAFC Wimbledon +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.421.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.851.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.131.08
First team to scoreMansfield Town to score first59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mansfield Town / FT Mansfield Town33%3.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.53–

Recent results

Mansfield Town – last 2

LL
21 Febvs Lincoln0–2L
17 Feb@ Blackpool0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

AFC Wimbledon – last 2

WL
21 Febvs Bradford3–1W
17 Feb@ Cardiff1–4L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mansfield Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our pick is Mansfield Town or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?

On our numbers Mansfield Town have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AFC Wimbledon 25%.

How many goals will there be in Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our predicted score is Mansfield Town 1–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon?

Mansfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at One Call Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.