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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ammanford AFC v Cardiff Draconians: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · Ammanford Recreation Ground

Ammanford AFC

LWD
2–1
FT

Cardiff Draconians

LL
Ammanford AFC 52%Draw 24%Cardiff Draconians 24% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.05
76%
Betarazi pick

Ammanford AFC or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAmmanford AFC to win ✓52% · @1.83
Double chanceAmmanford AFC or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.40

Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:30 WAT, Friday 6 March: Ammanford AFC v Cardiff Draconians in the FAW Championship, played at Ammanford Recreation Ground.

Current form

Ammanford AFC, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Afan Lido, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ammanford AFC 1.7 xG, Cardiff Draconians 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ammanford AFC 52%, draw 24%, Cardiff Draconians 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ammanford AFC or draw (76%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ammanford AFC or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ammanford AFC 1–1 Cardiff Draconians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ammanford AFC52%fair 1.92 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.30
Cardiff Draconians24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
2.71Expected goals
1.66Ammanford AFC xG
1.05Cardiff Draconians xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ammanford AFC 1.7 – 1.1 Cardiff Draconians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ammanford AFCCardiff Draconians
Attack vs FAW Championship average-2%-21%
Goals conceded vs average-16%-3%
Our expected goals here1.701.10

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmmanford AFC to win ✓52%1.921.83
Double chanceAmmanford AFC or draw ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.62
Draw no betAmmanford AFC (draw no bet) ✓68%1.46–
Asian handicapCardiff Draconians +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreAmmanford AFC to score first ✓57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ammanford AFC / FT Ammanford AFC ✓31%3.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.40–

Recent results

Ammanford AFC – last 3

LWD
1 Mar@ Afan Lido1–3L
24 Febvs Aberystwyth Town2–1W
13 Febvs Trethomas Bluebirds0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cardiff Draconians – last 2

LL
4 Mar@ Trefelin1–3L
21 Feb@ Treowen Stars0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ammanford AFC and Cardiff Draconians.

Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Cwmbran Celtic1 Ynyshir Albions3 129%2.90X23%3.25248%2.05 1.4–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.50 ✓
FT Newport City1 Baglan Dragons2 152%1.62X24%3.70224%4.50 1.5–1.1xG 1Newport City to win 52%@1.62 ✗
FT Pontypridd Town0 Llantwit Major4 151%2.05X22%3.30227%3.10 2.0–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.85 ✓
FT Trethomas Bluebirds4 Carmarthen Town5 141%2.80X23%3.10236%2.20 2.1–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.62 ✓
FT Denbigh Town0 Brickfield Rangers1 147%1.57X23%3.90230%4.33 1.7–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✗
FT Llandudno2 Holywell1 156%1.44X22%4.00222%5.00 2.2–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✓
FT Newtown AFC0 Gresford Athletic5 169%1.44X19%4.00212%4.80 2.6–0.8xG 1Newtown AFC to win 69%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our pick is Ammanford AFC or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?

On our numbers Ammanford AFC have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cardiff Draconians 24%.

How many goals will there be in Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?

Our predicted score is Ammanford AFC 1–1 Cardiff Draconians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?

Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.