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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Newtown AFC v Gresford Athletic: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium

Newtown AFC

WW
0–5
FT

Gresford Athletic

WWL
Newtown AFC 69%Draw 19%Gresford Athletic 12% Expected goals 2.58 – 0.82
69%
Betarazi pick

Newtown AFC to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultNewtown AFC to win ✗69% · @1.44
Double chanceNewtown AFC or draw ✗88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97

Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Newtown AFC welcome Gresford Athletic to The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 6 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Newtown AFC are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Gresford Athletic are 15th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gresford Athletic, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Holyhead Hotspur, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newtown AFC 2.6 xG, Gresford Athletic 0.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Newtown AFC 69%, draw 19%, Gresford Athletic 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Newtown AFC or draw (88%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Newtown AFC to win (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newtown AFC 2–0 Gresford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newtown AFC69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @4.00
Gresford Athletic12%fair 8.35 · @4.80
3.40Expected goals
2.58Newtown AFC xG
0.82Gresford Athletic xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%

From our goals model: Newtown AFC 2.6 – 0.8 Gresford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Newtown AFCGresford Athletic
Attack vs FAW Championship average-6%-41%
Goals conceded vs average-44%+44%
Our expected goals here2.440.55

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNewtown AFC to win ✗69%1.441.44
Double chanceNewtown AFC or draw ✗88%1.141.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.44
Draw no betNewtown AFC (draw no bet) ✗85%1.17–
Asian handicapNewtown AFC -1 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.34–
First team to scoreNewtown AFC to score first ✗73%1.36–
Half-time resultNewtown AFC ahead at half-time ✗56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC ✗52%1.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.97–

Recent results

Newtown AFC – last 2

WW
27 Feb@ Flint Mountain1–0W
20 Febvs Guilsfield2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Gresford Athletic – last 3

WWL
1 Marvs Holyhead Hotspur1–0W
20 Febvs Flint Mountain3–0W
13 Feb@ Llandudno1–7L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Newtown AFC and Gresford Athletic.

Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Ammanford AFC2 Cardiff Draconians1 152%1.83X24%3.30224%3.60 1.7–1.1xG 1XAmmanford AFC or draw 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Cwmbran Celtic1 Ynyshir Albions3 129%2.90X23%3.25248%2.05 1.4–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.50 ✓
FT Newport City1 Baglan Dragons2 152%1.62X24%3.70224%4.50 1.5–1.1xG 1Newport City to win 52%@1.62 ✗
FT Pontypridd Town0 Llantwit Major4 151%2.05X22%3.30227%3.10 2.0–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.85 ✓
FT Trethomas Bluebirds4 Carmarthen Town5 141%2.80X23%3.10236%2.20 2.1–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.62 ✓
FT Denbigh Town0 Brickfield Rangers1 147%1.57X23%3.90230%4.33 1.7–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✗
FT Llandudno2 Holywell1 156%1.44X22%4.00222%5.00 2.2–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?

Our pick is Newtown AFC to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?

On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gresford Athletic 12%.

How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?

Our predicted score is Newtown AFC 2–0 Gresford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?

Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.