Trethomas Bluebirds 41%Draw 23%Carmarthen Town 36%Expected goals 2.05 – 1.68
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Trethomas Bluebirds to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 6 March: Trethomas Bluebirds v Carmarthen Town in the FAW Championship, played at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence. In the table, Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Carmarthen Town are 10th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Trethomas Bluebirds, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Cambrian & Clydach, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Carmarthen Town, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Newport City, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Carmarthen Town, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Trethomas Bluebirds.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trethomas Bluebirds 2.1 xG, Carmarthen Town 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trethomas Bluebirds 41%, draw 23%, Carmarthen Town 36%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Trethomas Bluebirds to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trethomas Bluebirds 2–1 Carmarthen Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trethomas Bluebirds41%fair 2.46 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Carmarthen Town36%fair 2.74 · @2.20
3.73Expected goals
2.05Trethomas Bluebirds xG
1.68Carmarthen Town xG
66%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 2.1 – 1.7 Carmarthen Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Trethomas Bluebirds
Carmarthen Town
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+10%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+35%
Our expected goals here
2.68
1.77
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trethomas Bluebirds to win✗
41%
2.46
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Trethomas Bluebirds (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Carmarthen Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
First team to score
Trethomas Bluebirds to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Trethomas Bluebirds ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Trethomas Bluebirds – last 3
LLD
1 Mar
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–4
L
20 Feb
@ Afan Lido
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Ammanford AFC
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Carmarthen Town – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ Newport City
4–4
D
21 Feb
@ Caerau (Ely)
4–3
W
13 Feb
vs Trefelin
0–2
L
2.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trethomas Bluebirds and Carmarthen Town.
What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?
On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carmarthen Town 36%.
How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?
Our predicted score is Trethomas Bluebirds 2–1 Carmarthen Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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