Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Llantwit Major travel to face Pontypridd Town on Friday 6 March in the FAW Championship, with USW Sports Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Pontypridd Town are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 13 matches; Llantwit Major are 15th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Llantwit Major, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Treowen Stars, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pontypridd Town 2.0 xG, Llantwit Major 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pontypridd Town 51%, draw 22%, Llantwit Major 27%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pontypridd Town 2–1 Llantwit Major. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pontypridd Town51%fair 1.98 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.30
Llantwit Major27%fair 3.64 · @3.10
3.30Expected goals
2.01Pontypridd Town xG
1.29Llantwit Major xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 2.0 – 1.3 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pontypridd Town
Llantwit Major
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+36%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+7%
Our expected goals here
2.64
1.45
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontypridd Town to win✗
51%
1.98
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Pontypridd Town (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Llantwit Major +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Pontypridd Town to score first✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Pontypridd Town ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Pontypridd Town – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Llantwit Major – last 3
WWL
3 Mar
vs Treowen Stars
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ Ynyshir Albions
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Newport City
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontypridd Town and Llantwit Major.
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Llantwit Major 27%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
Our predicted score is Pontypridd Town 2–1 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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