Llandudno v Holywell Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLlandudno to win ✓56% · @1.44

Double chanceLlandudno or draw ✓78% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.31

Llandudno vs Holywell: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 6 March the FAW Championship brings Llandudno against Holywell at Go Goodwins Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Llandudno, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Flint Mountain, away. 4.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Llandudno 2.2 xG, Holywell 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Llandudno 56%, draw 22%, Holywell 22%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llandudno 2–1 Holywell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Llandudno56%fair 1.79 · @1.44

Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.00

Holywell22%fair 4.62 · @5.00

3.75Expected goals

2.20Llandudno xG

1.54Holywell xG

66%Both score

72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

1–18%

2–27%

3–16%

1–26%

2–06%

From our goals model: Llandudno 2.2 – 1.5 Holywell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Llandudno	Holywell
Attack vs FAW Championship average	+25%	+15%
Goals conceded vs average	-8%	-7%
Our expected goals here	2.09	1.76

Llandudno

Holywell

Attack vs FAW Championship average

+25%

+15%

Goals conceded vs average

-8%

-7%

Our expected goals here

2.09

1.76

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Llandudno to win ✓	56%	1.79	1.44
Double chance	Llandudno or draw ✓	78%	1.28	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.52	1.57
Draw no bet	Llandudno (draw no bet) ✓	72%	1.39	–
Asian handicap	Holywell +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	52%	1.94	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
First team to score	Llandudno to score first ✓	57%	1.74	–
Half-time result	Llandudno ahead at half-time ✓	41%	2.43	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Llandudno / FT Llandudno ✓	33%	2.99	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	11.31	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Llandudno to win ✓

56%

1.79

1.44

Double chance

Llandudno or draw ✓

78%

1.28

1.12

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

66%

1.52

1.57

Draw no bet

Llandudno (draw no bet) ✓

72%

1.39

–

Asian handicap

Holywell +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

68%

1.47

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

89%

1.13

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

72%

1.38

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals ✗

52%

1.94

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

68%

1.47

–

First team to score

Llandudno to score first ✓

57%

1.74

–

Half-time result

Llandudno ahead at half-time ✓

41%

2.43

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Llandudno / FT Llandudno ✓

33%

2.99

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✓

11.31

–

24 Feb	@ Flint Mountain	1–0	W
20 Feb	vs Denbigh Town	4–0	W
13 Feb	vs Gresford Athletic	7–1	W

27 Feb	vs Denbigh Town	5–1	W
20 Feb	@ Buckley Town	2–1	W

Llandudno v Holywell: numbers & prediction