Baltika v Dynamo Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDynamo to win ✓38% · @2.79

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.78

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.20

Baltika vs Dynamo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the Premier League brings Baltika against Dynamo at Rostec Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Baltika are 9th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Dynamo are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Baltika, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Akron, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Dynamo, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Krasnodar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.1 xG, Dynamo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 35%, draw 26%, Dynamo 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.78.
Price worth noting: Dynamo to win @2.79 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–1 Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Baltika35%fair 2.82 · @2.55

Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.54

Dynamo38%fair 2.62 · @2.79

2.41Expected goals

1.15Baltika xG

1.26Dynamo xG

54%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

0–09%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Baltika 1.1 – 1.3 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Dynamo to win ✓	38%	2.62	2.79 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.85	1.78
Draw no bet	Dynamo (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.93	–
Asian handicap	Baltika +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.03
First team to score	Dynamo to score first ✓	48%	2.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo ✓	22%	4.48	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	8%	12.20	–

Baltika – last 6

LDDLLW

27 Apr	vs Akron	0–1	L
23 Apr	@ Akhmat	1–1	D
5 Apr	@ Dinamo Makhachkala	2–2	D
3 Mar	vs Zenit	0–1	L
27 Feb	@ Zenit	0–1	L
22 Feb	@ Krylia Sovetov	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Dynamo – last 6

WDLWDL

11 May	vs FC Krasnodar	2–1	W
1 May	@ Lokomotiv	1–1	D
22 Apr	vs Rubin	0–1	L
13 Apr	@ Akron	3–2	W
8 Apr	vs FC Krasnodar	0–0	D
22 Mar	vs Zenit	1–3	L

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zenit	14	10	1	3	+17	31
2	Dynamo	14	10	1	3	+10	31
3	Spartak Moscow	14	9	2	3	+16	29
4	FC Krasnodar	14	7	5	2	+7	26
5	CSKA Moscow	14	7	5	2	+7	26
6	FC Rostov	14	5	4	5	-1	19
7	Krylia Sovetov	14	4	6	4	-1	18
8	Rubin	14	4	6	4	-4	18
9	Baltika	14	4	5	5	+2	17
10	FC Orenburg	14	3	8	3	0	17
11	Dinamo Makhachkala	14	5	1	8	-9	16
12	Akhmat	14	3	5	6	-3	14
13	Rodina Moskva	14	3	3	8	-14	12
14	Akron	14	2	6	6	-8	12
15	Lokomotiv	14	2	5	7	-5	11
16	Fakel	14	1	3	10	-14	6

Team

Pts

+17

+10

+16

-1

-1

-4

-9

-3

-14

-8

-5

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baltika vs Dynamo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Baltika vs Dynamo?

On our numbers Baltika have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dynamo 38%.

How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Dynamo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Dynamo?

Our predicted score is Baltika 1–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Baltika vs Dynamo?

Baltika vs Dynamo (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Baltika v Dynamo: numbers & prediction