Value bet: FC Sochi to win @ 2.63 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Sochi to win ✗41% · @2.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
FC Sochi vs Akhmat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Sochi welcome Akhmat to Fisht Olympic Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT).
Current form
FC Sochi, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zenit, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Akhmat, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Makhachkala, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Sochi, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Akhmat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Sochi 1.5 xG, Akhmat 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Sochi 41%, draw 25%, Akhmat 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: FC Sochi to win @2.63 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Sochi 1–1 Akhmat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Sochi41%fair 2.43 · @2.63
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.66
Akhmat34%fair 2.95 · @2.62
2.65Expected goals
1.47FC Sochi xG
1.18Akhmat xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.5 – 1.2 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win✗
41%
2.43
2.63 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
FC Sochi (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Akhmat +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.07
First team to score
FC Sochi to score first
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
FC Sochi – last 6
LWWWWL
10 May
@ Zenit
1–2
L
3 May
vs FC Orenburg
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ FC Rostov
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Rubin
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 6
DDLWDD
10 May
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Baltika
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs FC Rostov
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Akron
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and Akhmat.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Akhmat?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Akhmat 34%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is FC Sochi 1–1 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Sochi vs Akhmat?
FC Sochi vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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