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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dinamo Makhachkala v Spartak Moscow: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Anzhi Arena
Dinamo Makhachkala 24%Draw 24%Spartak Moscow 52% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.65
76%
Betarazi pick

Spartak Moscow or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✗52% · @2.03
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spartak Moscow travel to face Dinamo Makhachkala on Sunday 17 May in the Premier League, with Anzhi Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Spartak Moscow are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dinamo Makhachkala, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Akhmat, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Spartak Moscow, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rubin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Dinamo Makhachkala.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dinamo Makhachkala 0.9 xG, Spartak Moscow 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dinamo Makhachkala 24%, draw 24%, Spartak Moscow 52%.
  • Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (76%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.94.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Spartak Moscow or draw (76%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Spartak Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dinamo Makhachkala24%fair 4.24 · @3.88
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.52
Spartak Moscow52%fair 1.91 · @2.03
2.59Expected goals
0.94Dinamo Makhachkala xG
1.65Spartak Moscow xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Dinamo Makhachkala 0.9 – 1.7 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Moscow to win ✗52%1.912.03 ▲
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓76%1.311.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.94 ▲
Draw no betSpartak Moscow (draw no bet)69%1.45–
Asian handicapDinamo Makhachkala +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.37
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.03
First team to scoreSpartak Moscow to score first ✗59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow ✗33%3.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6

DLDLDL
10 May@ Akhmat1–1D
2 Mayvs FC Rostov1–2L
23 Apr@ Akron1–1D
19 Aprvs Zenit0–1L
5 Aprvs Baltika2–2D
18 Mar@ Zenit0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Spartak Moscow – last 6

WWLWLW
11 Mayvs Rubin2–1W
6 Mayvs CSKA Moscow1–0W
1 May@ Krylia Sovetov1–2L
26 Apr@ Nizhny Novgorod2–1W
23 Aprvs FC Krasnodar1–2L
19 Aprvs Akhmat3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Makhachkala and Spartak Moscow.

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?

Our pick is Spartak Moscow or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?

On our numbers Dinamo Makhachkala have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spartak Moscow 52%.

How many goals will there be in Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?

Our predicted score is Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Anzhi Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.