Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 3.30 – our chance 43% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +42%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✗43% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Rubin v Nizhny Novgorod in the Premier League, played at Ak Bars Arena.
Current form
Rubin, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Spartak Moscow, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CSKA Moscow, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rubin, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.6 for Nizhny Novgorod.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rubin 1.0 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rubin 34%, draw 23%, Nizhny Novgorod 43%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.82.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubin 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rubin34%fair 2.91 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.56
Nizhny Novgorod43%fair 2.32 · @3.30
2.64Expected goals
1.03Rubin xG
1.61Nizhny Novgorod xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rubin 1.0 – 1.6 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✗
43%
2.32
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.82
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Rubin +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.04
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Rubin – last 6
LWWDWW
11 May
@ Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Dynamo
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC Sochi
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 5
LLLLW
11 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs FC Rostov
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubin and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers Rubin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nizhny Novgorod 43%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Rubin 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Rubin vs Nizhny Novgorod (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ak Bars Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Sochi1