Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.21 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZenit to win ✓62% · @1.36
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓82% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.21
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39
FC Rostov vs Zenit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Rostov welcome Zenit to Rostov Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, FC Rostov are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Zenit are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Rostov, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Akron, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Zenit, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Sochi, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zenit, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for FC Rostov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Rostov 0.9 xG, Zenit 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Rostov 18%, draw 21%, Zenit 62%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.21.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.21 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Rostov 1–1 Zenit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Rostov18%fair 5.66 · @8.70
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @5.45
Zenit62%fair 1.62 · @1.36
2.59Expected goals
0.93FC Rostov xG
1.67Zenit xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: FC Rostov 0.9 – 1.7 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✓
62%
1.62
1.36
Double chance
Zenit or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.21 ▲
Draw no bet
Zenit (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
FC Rostov +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.06
First team to score
Zenit to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✓
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
FC Rostov – last 6
WWDLWL
11 May
@ Akron
3–1
W
2 May
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Nizhny Novgorod
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Akhmat
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zenit – last 6
WDWWWW
10 May
vs FC Sochi
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Dynamo
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Rostov and Zenit.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win FC Rostov vs Zenit?
On our numbers FC Rostov have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zenit 62%.
How many goals will there be in FC Rostov vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Rostov vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is FC Rostov 1–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Rostov vs Zenit?
FC Rostov vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rostov Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod2
FC Sochi1