Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CSKA Moscow welcome Lokomotiv to VEB Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, CSKA Moscow are 5th, upper half, on 26 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CSKA Moscow, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nizhny Novgorod, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Lokomotiv, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dynamo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Moscow 1.6 xG, Lokomotiv 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Moscow 44%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.64.
Price worth noting: CSKA Moscow to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Moscow 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Moscow44%fair 2.28 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.70
Lokomotiv32%fair 3.14 · @2.75
2.74Expected goals
1.58CSKA Moscow xG
1.17Lokomotiv xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.6 – 1.2 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
44%
2.28
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.64
Draw no bet
CSKA Moscow (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.34
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.08
First team to score
CSKA Moscow to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
CSKA Moscow – last 6
WLDLWW
11 May
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
6 May
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs FC Rostov
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Krylia Sovetov
5–2
W
4 Apr
@ Akron
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 6
DDWLWL
1 May
vs Dynamo
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Zenit
0–0
D
18 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Akron
5–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rubin
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv 32%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod2
FC Sochi1